Welcome to GD99!
If you have stumbled onto the file without knowing what you are doing,
you might direct your browser to:
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gdhome.html

Please note that I use the abreviation N for Navy and AF for AirForce. On
the maps I will use F for AirForce (and P for People's Republic of Asia)
because I only have room for a one letter
code. To avoid confusions, try to think Navy, not Fleet, even though the unit
type is the same across standard and Global.

Initial builds
(Map at: http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/IntialBuildMap.gif)

PR:
build N Kor
build N chi
build N sea

EU:
N WEU SC
N SEU  
N SCA 	Note that this was earlier reported incorrectly as A SCA
A GBR	Note that this was earlier reported incorrectly as N GBR

SA:
N Arg
N Per
N Bra

US:
N Ala
N WUS
N SUS

RF:
AF WSI
A RUS
A YAK
N KAM

GA:
AF EGY
AF WAF
N EAF

======
Winter 2201 Movement orders:

EU:
N WEU SC-MED    OK
N SEU-TUR       Bounce
N SCA-NAT       OK
A GBR H         OK

SA:
N Per-Col       OK
N Bra-MAT       Bounce
N Arg-SPA       OK

PR:
N Kor - CHS     OK
N chi - kor     OK
N sea - ind     OK

RF:
A RUS-TUR               Bounce
A YAK-URA               OK
AF WSI S N KAM-SOJ      Invalid, unit holds
N KAM-SOJ               OK

US:
N WUS-AMP       OK
N SUS-MAT       Bounce
N ALA-NWT       OK

GA:
AF EGY-ISR      OK
AF WAF-EAF      OK
N EAF-SIO       OK

====
Map is located at:
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/01w.gif
====
No retreats.
====
Movement orders for Spring 2101:

PR:
N CHS - tai     OK
N ind H         OK
N kor - CHS     OK

SA:
N Bra-MAT       Bounce
N Col-CAM       OK
N SPA-WAU       OK

RF:
A  RUS - SCA            OK
AF WSI S A  RUS - SCA   OK
N  SOJ - JAP            OK
A  URA - KAZ            OK

EU:
A GBR-GRE               OK
N NAT C A GBR-GRE       OK
N MED-EGY               Bounce
N SEU-TUR               OK

US:
N AMP-MEX               OK
N NWT-CCA               OK
N SUS-MAT               Bounce

GA:
AF ISR-SAU              OK
AF EAF-EGY              Bounce
N SIO-QND(nc)           OK

===
No retreats needed.
===
Supply center control, Spring 2101.

EU: GBR SEU WEU GRE TUR         Build 1 unit
GA: EAF EGY WAF SAU QND         Build 2 units
PR: CHI KOR SEA IND TAI         Build 2 units
RF: KAM RUS WSI YAK KAZ JAP SCA Build 3 units
SA: ARG BRA PER CAM WAU         Build 2 units
US: ALA SUS WUS MEX CCA         Build 2 units

===

Build results, Spring 2101

EU Build:
AF WEU B

SA:
Build AF Peru
Build N Arg

GA:
N EGY
N WAF

PR:
build AF CHI
build N SEA

US:
Build Air Forces in ALA and WUS

RF (Late):
N RUS WC
A YAK
AF KAM
=====

Map at:
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/01Sp.gif

====
Movement orders Summer 2101

PR:
Air Force  chi - kor            OK
Navy tai - ASP                  OK
Navy CHS S Navy tai - ASP       OK
NAvy sea - CHI                  OK
Navy ind - sea                  OK

EU:
A GRE H                 OK
N NAT-EAR               OK
AF WEU S N NAT-EAR      OK
N MED-NAT               OK
N TUR H                 OK

SA:
N Bra hold      OK
N WAU hold      OK
AF Per hold     OK
N Arg hold      OK
N Bra hold      OK
N CAM hold	OK

RF:
AF KAM-YAK              OK
A YAK-URA               OK
AF WSI S SCA Hold       OK
A SCA Hold              OK
RUS(WC)-EEU             OK
A KAZ - MIE             OK
N JAP Hold              OK

GA:
All Units Hold          OK

US (late):
N CCA-HUD               OK
N SUS-EUS               OK
N MEX-CAM               Bounce
AF ALA-NWT              OK
AF WUS-MIW              OK

No retreats needed.
map at: http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/01Su.gif

==== 

Fall 2101 movement orders:

EU:
N NAT-BAL		Ok
A GRE-RUS		Bounce, Unit disbanded
N EAR C A GRE-RUS	OK
AF WEU S A GRE-RUS	Cut
N TUR H			Failed, unit dislodged

SA:
N Bra-SAT		OK
N Arg-SPA		OK
N CAM-Mex/wc		OK
AF Per S CAM-Mex/wc	OK
N Wau HOLD		OK

Russian federation:
N JAP H			OK
AF YAK-URA		Bounce
A URA-RUS		Bounce
A SCA-H			OK
AF WSI S SCA-H		OK
N EEU-WEU		Bounce, but cuts support
A MIE-TUR		OK

PR:
N chi - sea		OK
N SEA - NIO		OK
AF kor - ino		OK
N CHS C F kor - ino	OK
N ASp - Nze		OK

US:
N HUD-GRE		OK
N EUS-NAT		OK
N MEX/wc-CAM		Failed, unit dislodged
AF NWT S HUD-GRE	OK
AF MIW S EUS-NAT	OK

GA:
N EGY-MED		OK
AF SAU S A MIE-TUR	OK
N WAF-SAH		OK
AF EAF-SAF		OK
N QND(nc)-SIO		OK

Retreat/disband is needed for US Navy in Mex (can retreat to AMP or WUS)
Retreat/disband is needed for EU Navy in TUR (can retreat to ISR or SEU)
EU A GRE had no retreat option and has disbanded.

Retreat orders are due Thursday at 17:00 PDT

====
Retreats Fall, 2101:

N TUR R SEU
N MEX/wc - WUS

======
Supply center control, Fall 2101.

EU: GBR SEU WEU                         Remove 1 unit
GA: EAF EGY WAF SAU QND SAF             Build 1 unit
PR: CHI KOR SEA IND TAI INO NZE         Build 2 units
RF: KAM RUS WSI YAK KAZ JAP SCA TUR     Build 1 unit
SA: ARG BRA PER CAM WAU MEX             Build 1 unit
US: ALA SUS WUS CCA GRE                 Build 0 units

Notes:
GA and SA may build nuclear arsenals
PR may not build 2 Navies (max of five per unit type)

=====
Build orders, Fall 2101

RF:
Build N RUS (WC)

SA
Build Arsenal (AR) in ARG

PR:
Build N kor
Build F chi

EU:
Remove N SEU

GA:
AF EAF
===

Microsoft News Network Update (03 Dec 2101):

"The spectre of a nuclear arms race has reappeared on the globe or earth.
Disappointingly, all nations are concerned for the nation's plight and balance
to be preserved. The great world's leaders have selectively called for
peace and understanding to be preserved amoung the nations of the globe."

(This news bulletin was created using NewsMaster v. 6.03b.)

=====

Current map at:
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/01Fa.gif

======

Movement orders Winter 2102:

PR:
N NIO - SIO		OK
N NZE-SPA		Failed
AF INO-S N NZE-SPA	OK
N sea H			OK
AF chi - tai		OK
N CHS C F chi - tai	OK
N kor - chi		OK

EU:
N BAL-GBR		Failed
N EAR-GRE		Failed
AF WEU-SEU		Failed

SA:
Arsenal Arg Nuke SAF	OK, SAF destroyed
N SAT S SPA		Cut, unit dislodged
N Mex-CAM		OK
N SPA S SAT		Cut
N WAU S SPA		OK
AF Per S SPA		OK

GA:
N MED S A TUR-SEU	OK
AF SAU-ISR		OK
N SAH-WAF		OK
AF EAF-CAF		OK
N SIO-SAT		OK
AF SAF-S N SIO-SAT	OK, AF destroyed

US:
N GRE H			OK
N NAT-GBR		Failed
N WUS-MEX/wc		OK
AF NWT S GRE		OK
AF MIW S WUS-MEX	OK

RF:
n jap - asp		OK
n rus (wc) - bal	Failed
a sca hold		OK
a ura - rus		Failed, cannot dislodge own unit
af wsi s a ura - rus	OK
n eeu - weu		Failed
af yak - ura		Failed
A TUR-SEU		OK

N SAT must disband or retreat to MAD/BRA/MAT/ANT

N SAT sails home to Brazil to get well-earned shore-leave

=======

Spring 2102 Movement orders

PR:
N sea - CHS		OK
N CHS - NIO		OK
N CHI H			OK
N SIO-QND(n)		Bounce (with N ASP - QND (EC)
N NZE-SPA		OK
AF INO-S NZE-SPA	OK
AF TAI-S NZE-SPA	OK

GA:
N MED-WEU(sc)		OK
AF ISR-H		OK
N WAF-MAT		Bounce (with N BRA-MAT)
N SAT-ARG		Bounce (with N SPA-ARG)
AF CAF-S SAT-ARG	OK
*saf rip*		For all eternity...

RF:
N ASP - QND (EC)		Bounce (with N SIO-QND(n))
A URA - RUS			OK
A SEU S N MED - WEU (SC)	OK
AF YAK-ESI			OK
AF WSI S A SCA			OK
A SCA HOLD			OK
N RUS (WC) - BAL		OK
N EEU S N RUS (WC) - BAL	OK

The European Union 
N EAR-POL		OK
N BAL-GBR		OK
AF WEU-SPN		OK

SA:
N WAU hold		OK
N SPA-Arg		Bounce (with N SAT-ARG), unit dislodged
AF Peru S SPA-Arg	OK
N Bra-MAT		Bounce (with N WAF-MAT)
N CAM-Col		OK
Arsenal NUKE WAF	Failed, cut by N SAT-ARG

US:
All units hold		OK, US is now nuclear ready.

==== 

N SPA retreats to AMP

===
Supply center control, Spring 2102.

EU: GBR                                         Remove 2 units
GA: EAF EGY WAF SAU QND WEU                     Build 1 unit
PR: CHI KOR SEA IND TAI INO NZE                 No Build
RF: KAM RUS WSI YAK KAZ JAP SCA TUR SEU         Build 1 unit
SA: ARG BRA PER CAM WAU                         Remove 1 unit
US: ALA SUS WUS CCA GRE MEX                     Build 1 unit

Notes:
GA and US may build nuclear arsenals

Spring 2102 Builds/Removals

Remove N GBR
Remove AF SPN

remove navy col

build AF kam

Build AF EGY

Build R SUS


Map updated:
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/02Sp.gif
========

Summer 2101 Moves

EU:
N POL-HUD		OK

PR:
N NIO-SIO		OK
N SIO-QND/nc		OK	
N CHS-ASP		OK
N CHI-CHS		OK
N SPA-PER		Failed (cuts support), Unit dislodged.
AF INO S N NIO - QND(n)	OK
AF tai S RF N ASP - NPA	OK

RF:
N BAL - NAT		OK
N EEU - BAL		OK
A SCA HOLD		OK
A RUS - URA		OK
AF WSI S N BAL-NAT	OK
AF ESI S N ASP-NPA	OK
AF KAM S N ASP-NPA	OK
N ASP - NPA		OK
A SEU - TUR		OK

GA:
N WAF-SAT		OK
AF EGY-SAH		OK
N SAT-ARG		OK
AF CAF S SAT-ARG	OK
AF ISR-S BAL-NAT	OK
N WEU(s)-MED		OK

US:
N GRE H			OK
N NAT-GBR		OK
N MEX S AMP		OK
AF NWT-ALA		OK
AF MIW-WUS		OK
R SUS bomb MAT		OK, MAT destroyed

SA:
N Bra-ARg		Failed
F Per S Bra-Arg		Cut
R Arg nuke SAT		Failed, Unit disbands
N Wau - Spa		OK
N AMP S Wau-Spa		OK

The PR Navy in SPA must disband or retreat to NZE or SOZ.
(ANT is closed for Summer)

Retreat order:

retreat to nze

Map:
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/02Su.gif
===

Movement orders for Fall 2102:

EU:
N HUD-CCA		Bounce

PR:
N ASP - NPA		Bounce, NPA-WUS failed
N SIO - SPA		OK
N NZE S N SIO - SPA	OK
N CHS - ASP		Bounce, ASP-NPA failed
F INO S N QND(n)-WAU	OK
N QND(n)-WAU		OK
F TAI S N SIO - SPA	OK
 
GA:
F SAH-S SAT-BRA		OK
N SAT-BRA		OK
N ARG-S SAT-BRA		Cut
F CAF-S ARG		OK
F ISR-SEU		Bounce
N MED-C ISR-SEU		Failed

US:
N GRE-NAT		OK
N GBR S GRE-NAT		OK
N MEX-WUS		Failed (cannot dislodge own unit), blocks NPA-WUS 
F ALA S MEX-WUS		OK
F WUS-CCA		Bounce
R SUS bomb EUS (self-inflicted punishment for the fates of the Mattians,
and a response to rumours of pro-RF movements in New York; the Russian
leader is that persuasive!)
			OK, EUS destroyed.

SA:
N AMP s Mex-WUS		OK
N SPA -Arg		Bounce (equal uncut support), Unit dislodged
AF PEr S SPA-Arg	OK
N Bra S SPA-Arg		Cut, Unit dislodged.

RF (late):
N NPA-WUS		Bounce
AF ESI S N NPA-WUS	OK
AF KAM-KOR		OK
AF WSI-URA		OK
A URA-CHI		OK
N NAT-SPN		OK
N BAL-WEU		OK
A TUR-SEU		Bounce
A SCA HOLD		OK
======

Retreat orders:

N Bra-Col
N Spa-SAT
====

Supply center control, Fall 2102.

EU:                                          		Remove 1 unit
GA: EAF EGY WAF SAU QND ARG BRA 			Build 1 unit
PR: SEA IND TAI INO NZE WAU                     	Remove 1 unit
RF: KAM RUS WSI YAK KAZ JAP SCA TUR SEU WEU CHI KOR 	Build 3 units
SA: PER CAM 						Remove 2 units
US: ALA SUS WUS CCA GRE MEX GBR				Build not possible
								(no free SCs)

Notes:
GA may build a nuclear arsenal.
RF may not build three of the same type of unit as he has 3 of each now
	(5 unit max per type)


Build orders Fall 2102:

disband N NZE

Disband N HUD

build af rus
build n kam
build af yak

build r EAF

disband COL
disband AMP

Map: http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/02Fa.gif
=====

Movement orders Winter 2103

PR: 
N spa - amp		OK
N wau - sio		OK
N CHS-sea		OK
AF TAI-S CHS-sea	OK
N ASP - NPA		OK
AF INO-S N CHS - sea	OK

RF:
N KAM - KOR		OK
N NPA - ALA		OK
AF ESI S NPA-ALA	OK
AF YAK S KAM-KOR	OK
A CHI - SEA		Fail
N SPN - MED		Fail, unit dislodged
AF URA S WEU-NAT	OK
N WEU/wc - NAT		OK, unit destroyed
AF KOR - MON		OK
A TUR - ISR		OK, unit destroyed
AF RUS S TUR-ISR	OK
A SCA HOLD		OK

GA 
F CAF-WAF		OK
R EAF-bombs ISR		OK, ISR destroyed
F ISR-SAU		OK
N MED-SPN		OK
F SAH-S MED-SPN		OK
N BRA-COL		OK
N ARG-SPA		OK

US
N NAT-EAR		OK
N GBR-BAL		OK
N MEX-WUS		OK
F ALA S MEX-WUS		Fail, unit dislodged
F WUS-CCA		OK
R SUS bomb NAT		OK, NAT destroyed

SA
N SAT-ARG		OK
AF PER S N SAT-ARG	OK
=====

Retreat orders Winter 2103:

RF N SPN retreats to WEU (wc)
US AF ALA to NWT

====
MAP: 
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/03W.gif

====

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====
Movement orders for Spring 2103:

PR:
N AMP-per		Failed, but cuts support
N SEA-CHI		Failed
AF INO-S SEA-CHI	OK
AF TAI-S SEA-CHI	OK
N NPA - ala		OK
N SIO-NIo		OK

SA:
AF Per S N Arg		Cut
N Arg H			Failed, unit dislodged

US:
N EAR-POL		OK
N BAL S SPN-WEU(sc)	Cut, unit dislodged
N WUS-WCA		OK
F NWT S NPA-ALA		OK
F CCA S NPA-ALA		OK
R SUS bomb CAM		OK, CAM destroyed

GA:
N COL-BRA			OK
N SPA-ARG			OK
F WAF-S SPA-ARG			OK
F SAH-S SPN-WEU(s)		OK
N SPN-WEU(s)			OK
R EAF-bomb RUS via SAU		OK
F SAU-carries bomb EAF-RUS	OK, RUS destroyed

RF (late):
N WEU (WC) - BAL	OK
A SCA HOLD		OK
F ESI S N ALA HOLD	OK
N ALA HOLD		Failed, unit disbanded
F YAK - WSI		OK
F MON S A CHI HOLD	OK
A CHI HOLD		OK
F RUS S A SCA H		OK, but RUS and AF destroyed
F URA S WEU (WC) - BAL	OK
N KOR S CHI HOLD	OK

====

Retreat orders for Spring 2103:

N ARG - SAT
N BAL-GBR
N ALA had no valid retreat and was disbanded

=======
Supply center control, Spring 2103.

GA: EAF EGY WAF SAU QND ARG BRA WEU             Build 1 unit
PR: SEA IND TAI INO NZE WAU ALA                 Build not possible
RF: KAM WSI YAK KAZ JAP SCA TUR SEU CHI KOR     Build 2 units
SA: PER                                         Remove 1 unit
US: SUS WUS CCA GRE MEX GBR                     No Build


Adjustment orders

SA:
Disband AF PER

GA:
A EGY

RF (NMR, default builds):
B A YAK
B N KAM

Map at:

http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/03Sp.gif

====

Summer 2103 Movement orders:

SA:
N SAT - SIO	OK, unit destroyed

PR:
N ala - NPA		OK
N AMP S N ala - NPA	OK
N sea - CHI		OK
AF ino S N sea - CHI	OK
AF tai S N sea - CHI	OK
N NIO - CHS		Failed

GA:
SAH S GBR-BAL		OK
WAF S BRA-SAT		OK, unit subsequently destroyed
BRA-SAT			OK
ARG-PER			OK
EAF-bomb SIO		OK, SIO destroyed
SAU-MIE			OK
WEU(S)-MED		OK
EGY-SEA			Failed, no convoy

US:
N POL-ESI		OK
N GBR-BAL		OK
N WCA S ALA-NPA		OK
F NWT S POL-ESI		OK
F CCA-QUE		OK
R SUS bomb WAF		OK, WAF destroyed

RF (late):
a sca - bal - eeu	Failed, convoy cut
n bal c a sca - eeu	Failed, unit dislodged
a yak - wsi		OK
f esi s a yak - wsi	Cut, unit dislodged
n kam - soj		OK
n kor - chs		OK
f ura - kaz		OK
f wsi - ura		OK
f mon s n kor - chs	OK
a chi - tib		OK

====

Retreat orders:

n bal - weu(wc)
f esi - yak

====

Map available at:

http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/03Su.gif

======
Movement orders for Fall 2103.

PR:
N CHI-KOR               OK
F INO-S CHI-KOR         Ok
F TAI-S CHI-KOR         OK
N AMP - ASP             Ok
N NIO - india           OK
N NPA - JAP             Failed.

RF:
a tib - sea             OK
f kaz s a tib - sea     Ok
f ura s a tib - sea     OK
n soj - jap             Failed.
f yak - kor             Failed.
f mon s chs - chi       OK
n chs - chi             OK
a wsi - yak             Failed, unit disbanded (no available retreat)
a sca - pulls pud       OK, pud pulled.
n weu (wc) - hold       Failed, unit dislodged

GA:
R EAF-bomb SUS via SAH  OK, SUS destroyed
F SAH-bombs SUS         OK
A EGY-SEU               OK
N MED-C EGY-SEU         OK
F MIE-TUR               OK
N SAT-SPA               OK
N PER-H                 OK

US (late):
N ESI-WSI               OK
N BAL-WEU(wc)           OK
N WCA H                 OK
F NWT S ESI-WSI         OK
F QUE S BAL-WEU(wc)     OK
R SUS bomb SAH          OK, SAH destroyed, R SUS disbanded

Retreat order: N WEU/wc - SPN

4 way draw proposed.

=====
Supply center control, Fall 2103.

GA: EAF EGY SAU QND ARG BRA PER TUR SEU         Build 1 (max avail home SC)
PR: IND TAI INO NZE WAU ALA KOR                 Build not possible
RF: KAM YAK KAZ JAP SCA CHI SEA                 Remove 2 units
US: WUS CCA GRE MEX GBR WEU WSI                 Build 1 (max avail home SC)

Many thanks to Andrea for heroically trying to salvage the South American
position! (Not as much fun as your former solo, I suspect...)


Build orders:

US:
build navy WUS

GA:
WAIT, NoWait when you need to leave
N EGY

RF:
disband spn
disband mon


Remnants of the Map updated at
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/03Fa.gif

=======

Winter 2104 Movement orders:

PR:
IND-SEA			Failed (2x2)
ASP-H			OK
TAI-S IND-SEA		OK
KOR-KAM			OK
NPA-S KOR-KAM		OK
INO-bomb SOJ		OK, SOJ destroyed

US:
N WSI-URA		Failed, but cuts support
N WEU H			OK
N WCA-WUS		OK
F NWT-ALA		OK
F QUE S WEU		OK
N WUS-MEX/wc		OK

GA:
SEU-WEU			Failed
MED-S SEU-WEU		OK
TUR-MIE			OK
EAF-bomb SOJ via INO	OK, SOJ destroyed
EGY-NIO			OK
PER-AMP			OK
SPA-S PER-AMP		OK

RF (late):
n chi - kor		OK
f yak s n chi - kor	OK
n soj - kam		Failed, unit disbanded
a sea - ind		Failed (2x2)
f ura s a sea - ind	Cut
f kaz s a sea - ind	OK
a sca: as you were	OK

No retreats needed.

The map is at:
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/04W.gif

Movement orders Spring 2104:

PR:
N ind - SEA             OK
F ino S N ind - SEA     OK
N Kam H                 OK
N NPA S N Kam           OK
F tai - jap             OK
N ASP C F tai - jap     OK

US:
N WSI-URA               Failed
N WEU H                 OK
N WUS-AMP               OK
F ALA S WUS-AMP         OK
F QUE S WEU             OK
N MEX S WUS-AMP         OK

GA:
A SEU-PAK               OK
N MED-C SEU-PAK         OK
N NIO-C SEU-PAK         OK
F MIE-KAZ               Failed, cuts support
N AMP-H                 Failed, unit dislodged
N SPA-S AMP-H           OK
R EAF-refrains from bombing anyone, to give the 2 backstabbing powers a
    chance to repent and retreat from their ill-gotten gains  :-)

RF:
N KOR - KAM                     Failed
F YAK S KOR - KAM               OK
F URA - WSI                     Failed
A SEA - IND                     Failed, unit dislodged
F KAZ S SEA - IND               Cut
A SCA - HELL IN A HANDBASKET    Failed, still frozen...

AMP retreats to PER
SEA retreats to CHI 

=====

Supply center control, Spring 2104.

GA: EAF EGY SAU QND ARG BRA PER TUR SEU         Build 1
PR: IND TAI INO NZE WAU SEA KAM JAP             Build not possible
RF: YAK KAZ SCA CHI KOR                         Remove 1
US: WUS CCA GRE MEX GBR WEU WSI ALA             Build 1 (max possible)

Build orders:

disband a sca
Build A EGY
Build Air Force WUS

Map available at:
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/04Sp.gif

=====

Movement orders for Summer 2104:

PR:
N NPA - WUS		OK
F JAP S NPA - WUS	OK
N ASP S GN per - AMP	OK
N kam - NPA		OK
F ino S sea - chi	OK
N sea - chi		OK

US:
N WSI-EAR		OK
N WEU-SPN		OK
N AMP-COL		OK
F ALA S MEX-AMP		OK
F QUE S WEU-SPN		OK
N MEX-AMP		Failed
F WUS S MEX-AMP		Cut, unit dislodged

GA:
EAF-H			OK
EGY-PAK			OK
NIO-C EGY-PAK		OK
PAK-KAZ			OK
MIE-S PAK-KAZ		OK
PER-AMP			OK
SPA-S PER-AMP		OK
MED-WEU(sc)		OK

RF:
n kor - kam		OK
f yak a kor - kam	OK
f ura s kor - kam	OK
f kaz s chi hold	Cut, unit dislodged
a chi hold		Failed, unit dislodged

====

Retreat orders:

AF WUS-CCA
af kaz - tib
a chi - mon

Map available at:
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/04Su.gif

====

Movement orders Fall 2104:

PR:
N NPA-ALA				OK
AF JAP S N NPA-ala			OK
N CHI-H					OK
F INO-SEA (convoy by GA N in NIO)	Failed
N WUS-S GA N AMP-MEX(wc)		Unit dislodged
N ASP-S N SPA-AMP 			OK

RF:
a mon - chi			Failed
f ura s mon - chi		Cut
n kam hold			OK
f yak - wsi			OK
f tib - sea			Failed

GA:
N SPA-AMP		OK
N AMP-MEX(wc)		OK
R EAF-H			OK
N WEU(sc)-H		Failed, unit dislodged
A KAZ-URA		Failed, but cuts support
A PAK-TIB		Failed
AF MIE-KAZ		Failed
NIO-C INO-SEA		OK, but ION-SEA bounces

US (late):
F ALA S MEX-WUS			Cut, unit dislodged
F QUE S SPN-WEU south coast	OK
F CCA S MEX-WUS			OK
N MEX-WUS			OK
N COL-BRA			OK
N SPN-WEU south coast		OK
N EAR-POL			Void, POL frozen

Retreats
WUS - NPA
WEU(s)-SEU
AF ALA-WCA

=====

Supply center control, Fall 2104.

GA: EAF EGY SAU QND ARG PER TUR SEU KAZ MEX 	Build 1 (EGY)
PR: IND TAI INO NZE WAU SEA JAP ALA CHI 	Build 1 (SEA)
RF: YAK SCA KOR WSI KAM                    	Build 0
US: WUS CCA GRE GBR WEU BRA              	Remove 1

Build orders, Fall 2104:

build A SEA
Build N EGY
Remove AF WCA

http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/04F.gif

====
Movement orders for Winter 2105:

PR:
N CHI H			OK
F ino S N chi		OK
A sea S pak-tib 	OK
F jap S mex(wc) - wus 	OK
N NPA - esi		OK
N ala - wca		OK
N ASP - NPA		OK

RF:
rf tib - pak		Failed, unit disbanded
rf ura - yak		OK
rf wsi s ra mon - ura	OK
ra mon - ura		OK
rn kam - kor		OK

GA:
MEX(wc)-WUS		Failed (3 vs. 3)
AMP-S MEX(wc)-WUS	OK
KAZ-URA			Failed
PAK-TIB			OK
NIO-IND			OK
MIE-bomb EAR		OK
EAF-bomb EAR via MIE	OK, EAR destroyed
EGY-MED			OK
SEU-S EGY-MED		Cut

US:
F CCA S WUS-MEX		OK
N WUS-MEX 		Failed (3 vs. 3)
N BRA-ARG		OK
N EAR-GRE		OK
F QUE S WUS-MEX		OK
N WEU-SEU		Failed, but cuts support

The Russian AF in Tibet could not retreat.

Map updated at:
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/05W.gif

=== 
Movement orders for Spring 2105:

PR:
N chi - kor			OK
F ino S N chi - kor		OK
F jap S N chi - kor		OK
N esi - kam			OK
N NPA S GN mex(wc) - wus	OK
N WCA S GN mex(wc) - wus	OK
A sea - chi			OK

US:
N Gre-POL		OK
F CCA S WUS-AMP		OK
N WUS-AMP		OK
N Arg-Per		OK
N WEU/sc H		OK
F Que S WEU		OK

GA:
TIB-S SEA-CHI		OK
KAZ-URA			Failed, unit dislodged
MIE-S KAZ-URA		OK
SEU-WEU(sc)		Failed (2:2)
MED-S SEU-WEU(sc)	OK
EAF-H			OK
MEX(wc)-WUS		OK
AMP-S MEX(wc)-WUS	OK, Unit dislodged
IND-H			OK

RF (Late):
a ura - kaz		OK
af wsi s a ura - kaz	OK
af yak s a ura - kaz	OK
n kor - chi		Failed, unit dislodged

KAZ retreats to PAK
AMP retreats to SPA
KOR-CHS
====

Supply center control, Spring 2105.

GA: EAF EGY SAU QND ARG TUR SEU MEX IND WUS     Build 1
PR: TAI INO NZE WAU SEA JAP ALA CHI KOR KAM     Build 1 (SEA)
RF: YAK SCA WSI KAZ                             Build 0
US: CCA GRE GBR WEU BRA PER                     Build not possible

build Air Force Sea
build AF EGY (late)

Map: http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/05Sp.gif
====

Movement orders, Summer 2105:

PR:
A chi - mon             OK
F sea S A chi - mon     OK
N kam - esi             OK
N kor - CHS             OK
F ino S N kor - CHS     OK
F jap S GA N SPA - AMP  OK
N WCA S GA N WUS        OK
N NPA S GA N WUS        Cut, unit dislodged

GA:
TIB-URA         Failed
MIE-S TIB-URA   Cut
PAK-KAZ         Failed
IND-NIO         OK
EGY-TUR         OK
MED-C EGY-TUR   OK
SEU-S MED       OK
SPA-AMP         OK
WUS-S SPA-AMP   OK
EAF-H           OK

RF:
yak-mon         Failed
wsi-ura         Failed
chs-tai (he-he) OK
kaz-mie         Failed, cuts support

US:
N WEU-MED               Failed
AF Que S AMP-MEX        OK
AF CCA S POL-NPA        OK
N POL-NPA               OK
N AMP-MEX/wc            OK
N PER-AMP               Failed

N NPA retreats to ASP

Map: http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/05Su.gif
=====
Movement orders for Fall 2105

RF:
f wsi - yak	Failed
a kaz -mie	Failed, does not cut support, unit disbands
f yak - kor	Failed
n tai - chs	Failed, unit disbands

PR:
N ASP - tai		OK
F ino S N ASP - tai	OK
N CHS - kor		Failed
F sea - tib		OK
A mon - yak		Failed
N esi - wsi		Failed
N wca - ala		OK
F JAP S WCA-ALA		OK

GA:
WUS-NPA			OK
AMP-PER			Failed
SEU-WEU(sc)		OK
MED-S SEU-WEU(sc)	OK
TIB-URA			OK
TUR-S TIB-URA		OK
PAK-KAZ			OK
MIE-S PAK-KAZ		OK
EAF-H			OK
NIO-CHS			Failed

US:
PER-AMP			Failed
NPA-WCA			OK
QUE S MEX-WUS		OK
CCA S MEX-WUS		OK
MEX/wc-WUS		OK
WEU/sc-MED		Failed, unit dislodged.

RA KAZ and RN TAI with no available retreats were disbanded

UN WEU/sc retreats to SPN

=====
Supply center control, Fall 2105.

GA: EAF EGY SAU QND ARG TUR SEU MEX IND WEU KAZ Build 1 (EGY)
PR: TAI INO NZE WAU SEA JAP ALA CHI KOR KAM     Build 2
RF: YAK SCA WSI                                 Build not possible
US: CCA GRE GBR BRA PER WUS                     Build 0

build F chi
build F kor

Build F EGY

Map: http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/05F.gif
====

Movement orders Wintetr 2106:

PR:
N ala - NWT		OK
N esi - NPA		Failed
F jap S GN NPA - AMP	OK
N CHS - kor		OK
N tai - ASP		OK
F kor - kam		OK
A mon - yak		OK
F chi S A mon - yak	OK
F tib S GA ura - wsi	OK
F ino S N CHS - kor	OK

GA:
NPA-AMP			OK
AMP-COL			OK
NIO-CHS			OK
URA-WSI			OK
KAZ-URA			OK
MIE-S MED		OK
WEU(sc)-SPN		OK
MED-S WEU(sc)-SPN	OK
EGY-S NIO-CHS		OK
EAF-H			OK
TUR-S WEU(sc)-SPN	OK

RF:
af wsi s us n wus - npa	Cut, unit disbands
af yak s us n wus - npa	Cut, unit disbands

US:
PER-AMP		Failed
WUS S WCA-NPA	OK
WCA-NPA		OK
CCA S WCA-NPA	OK
QUE S WUS	OK
SPN-MED		Failed, unit disbands

The AFs in SPN, WSI, and YAK have no possibilities of retreat and all disband.

Map updated at
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/06W.gif

=====

Movement orders Spring 2106:

PR:
tib - ura               OK
ino S ASP-NPA           OK
jap S NWT - ala         OK
NWT - ala               OK
ASP - NPA               OK
esi - POL               OK
kor H                   OK
F kam S N esi - POL     OK
chi - mon               OK
yak - esi               OK

GA:
EAF-H           OK
TUR-MIE         OK
MIE-KAZ         OK
WSI-S URA-YAK   OK
URA-YAK         OK
CHS-ASP         OK
COL-BRA         OK
AMP-WUS         Failed
EGY-SPN         OK
MED-C EGY-SPN   OK
SPN-WEU(wc)     OK

US:
WUS-MEX         OK
CCA-WUS         Failed
QUE S WUS-MEX   OK
PER-ARG         OK
NPA-WUS         Failed, unit dislodged.

N NPA retreats to WCA

=======

Supply center control, Spring 2106

GA: EAF EGY SAU QND TUR SEU IND WEU KAZ YAK WSI BRA     Build 1 (EGY)
PR: TAI INO NZE WAU SEA JAP ALA CHI KOR KAM             Build 0
RF: SCA                                                 Build not possible
US: CCA GRE GBR PER WUS ARG MEX                         Build 1 (WUS)

Remember no more than 5 of each unit type per player.

Build Navy in WUS
Build F EGY

Map at
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/06Sp.gif

=======

Movement orders, Summer 2106

PR:
A esi H			OK
N NPA S ala - wca   	Cut
F ino S GN ASP - SPA 	OK
N POL C GA wsi - nwt	OK
F mon - ura		OK
F ura - wsi 		OK
F kam S N ala - wca	OK
F jap S N ala - wca	OK
N ala - WCA		OK
N kor - CHS		OK

US:
WUS S WCA-NPA	Cut
MEX-AMP		OK
CCA S MEX-AMP	OK
QUE S WUS	OK, unit and QUE destroyed
WCA-NPA		Failed, unit disbands
ARG-SPA		Failed

GA:
EAF-bomb QUE via EGY and SPN	OK
EGY-bomb QUE via SPN		OK
SPN-bomb QUE			OK
WEU(wc)-BAL			OK
MIE-PAK				OK
KAZ-TIB				OK
ASP-SPA				OK
YAK-H				OK
WSI-NWT				OK
AMP-WUS				Failed, unit dislodged
BRA-ARG				Failed
MED-NIO				Ok

The US AF in QUE was destroyed by flash radiation.
The US N in WCA had no place of retreat and disbanded.

GA N AMP retreats to PER

Map at
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/06Su.gif

====

Movement orders for Fall 2106:

US:
CCA S WUS               Cut
WUS S AMP               Cut, unit dislodged
AMP S ARG-PER           Cut, unit dislodged
ARG-PER                 Failed, unit disbanded


PR:
N NPA - AMP             OK
F kam S N NPA - AMP     OK
F ino S N NPA - AMP     OK
N WCA - wus             OK
F jap S N WCA - wus     OK
N CHS - ASP             OK
N POL-C WSI-GRE         OK
F WSI-GRE               OK
F URA - chi             OK
A esi - wsi             OK


GA:
EAF-bomb SAT            OK, SAT destroyed
BRA-ARG                 OK
SPA-S BRA-ARG           OK
PER-S BRA-ARG           OK
NWT-CCA                 Failed, but cuts support
BAL-GBR                 OK
EGY-IND                 OK
NIO-C EGY-IND           OK
PAK-S NIO               OK
TIB-S NIO               OK
SPN-S NIO               OK
YAK-H                   OK

The US Navy in AMP retreats to COL
The US Navy in WUS retreats to MEX/wc
The US Navy in ARG had no retreats and was disbanded.

Map at
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/06F.gif

====

CNN/Nike World Report:
18 November 2106.
The government of Madagascar, a nation which has prided itself as the
sole remaining member of the League of Non-aligned Nations, sharply criticized
the recent decision by the Greater African Alliance to destroy the navigable
waters of the South Atlantic Ocean. With this loss of trade route, they
fear a complete collapse of their economy by Spring of 2107.

=======
Supply center control, Fall 2106

GA: EAF EGY SAU QND TUR SEU IND WEU KAZ YAK BRA GBR PER ARG Build 1 (EGY)
PR: TAI INO NZE WAU SEA JAP ALA CHI KOR KAM GRE WUS WSI     Build 2
RF: SCA                                                 Build not possible
US: CCA MEX                                             Remove 1

Reminder: max of 5 per unit type per superpower

Adjustment orders:

Remove N Mex
Build N SEA
Build A kor
Build A EGY

Map at
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/06F.gif

====

Movement orders for Winter 2107

PR:
N SEA - NIO		OK
F jap S N SEA - NIO	OK
F ino S N SEA - NIO	OK
F chi S N SEA - NIO	Cut
A wsi - yak		OK
A kor S A wsi - yak	OK
F kam S A wsi - yak	OK
N AMP - mex (wc)	OK
N WUS S N AMP - mex (wc)OK
F gre S GA NWT - CCA	OK
N POL S A wsi		Invalid, unit holds
N ASP - nze		OK

GA:
EGY-INO 		Failed
SPN-S NIO		OK
NIO-C EGY-INO		Failed, unit dislodged
GBR-BAL			OK
PAK-S EGY-INO		Void
TIB-CHI			Failed, cuts support
IND-S EGY-INO		Void
EAF-bomb CHS		OK, CHS destroyed
SPA-ASP			OK
PER-COL			OK
ARG-BRA			OK
NWT-CCA			OK
YAK-H			Failed, unit dislodged

US: 
CCA S COL-AMP		Failed, unit dislodged
COL-AMP			OK

====

Notes on NIO convoy resolution -- following the Diplomacy Player's Technical
Guide, ftp://devel.diplom.org/pub/diplomacy/Documents/dptg.txt :

4. Direct attack TIB-CHI cut F chi S N SEA - NIO

5.NIO-C EGY-INO is a case of "convoy subversion" (convoyed attack on a unit
supporting an attack on the convoy). Therefore do not yet resolve
attack on NIO. A convoy may subvert itself. (Skip to step 10) 

10. Break circle of subversion.
10A. Would convoy be disrupted if INO support survived? Yes
10B. Would convoy be disrupted if INO support were cut? No
Yes+No > convoy remains subverted; no convoy is "confused". (Skip to step 12)

12. Cancel all convoys in circle: A EGY-INO fails; N SEA - NIO succeeds

===

A YAK retreats to MON
N NIO retreats to SAU
retreat CCA-WCA

Map: http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/07W.gif

====

There has been a call for a vote on a 2-way draw shared by PR and GA.
===
Draw rejected.

====
Movement Spring 2107

US:
F WCA-ALA		Failed
N AMP-PER		Failed

PR:
N NIO - eaf		Failed, but cuts bombing. Unit dislodged
F ino S N NIO - eaf	Cut, unit dislodged
N nze - ASP		OK
F jap S N nze - ASP	OK
N POL - ala		Failed
N wus S N mex(wc)	OK
N mex(wc) S N wus	OK
A kor - mon		OK
A yak S A kor - mon	OK
F kam S A kor - mon	OK
F gre H			OK
F chi - sea		OK

GA:
SAU-NIO			OK
SPN-S SAU-NIO		OK
BAL-SCA			OK
EGY-H			OK
EAF-bomb SEA		Failed
ASP-INO			OK
MON-CHI			OK
PAK-S ASP-INO		OK
TIB-URA			OK
IND-TIB			OK
COL-PER			Failed
BRA-ARG			OK
CCA-H			OK

Supply center control, Fall 2106

GA: EAF EGY SAU QND TUR SEU IND WEU KAZ BRA GBR PER ARG INO CHI SCA CCA 
PR: TAI NZE WAU SEA JAP ALA KOR KAM GRE WUS WSI MEX YAK 

Retreats are no longer relevant, NIO could retreat to IND,
but the supply center count would then be 14-16.

Therefore, victory conditions for the Greater African Union.
Congratulations to Jeff for his victory!
Further congratulations to Stan for a close second.
And kudos to Samy for his noble efforts at survival against overwhelming odds!

Final map: http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/gd/gd99/07Sp.gif

========

EOG statements

===
PR EOG

Started off by sending out my usual introductions and worked out a deal
early on to form a triple with RF and GA. This seemed to work out fine to
begin with,
GA built a arsenal and caused chaos in the Americas, and I captured all the
PAcific islands with RF hitting Europe hard with US help.

The war then turned against the US and as the US was being knocked back
RF decided to stab me. I was warned before this by GA but I felt that RF
would have too
much to lose by stabbing me so early on.

I was then in an alliance with GA and because of the stab I had to let GA
move his forces through Asia, this allowed me to recover and help to
eventualy
finish RF and the US but gave Jef to much advantage in the end for me to
stop
him getting the solo.

All in all a very enjoyable game, and one I would like to play again.
I have sent Eric some ideas for a more complex version using nuclear winters
but it may be too complex to be playable.

All the best and thanks to all the players I have spoken to in this game.

Stan

==========

From: Samy Elias
Subject: GD99 - US EOG

The first half (roughly) of the game was interesting. But in the end it
is apparent that Stan (PR) and Jeff (GA) were playing a different style
of Diplomacy than I like. I'm used to cut-throat play, and people going
for the win, not easy draws. Stan and Jeff seemed to be playing an
'unbreakable alliance' game, up until the last moment when PR's complete
vulnerability to GA could no longer be ignored by Jeff. Jeff's offer to
split the win *after* soloing seems to confirm this.

Anyways, from the beginning. Got off to a rocky start with David (SA),
when he kept trying to head into MAT, supposedly to head for EU. But we
ironed things out, and had a very rational and binding alliance. I also
started out with an alliance with Mike (RF). I hoped to get some gains
in Europe.

Pretty soon it was clear RF had a decisive lead. I kept telling PR to
watch his back and protect himself from the eventual stab, but he seemed
resigned to the idea of total reliance on RF's good will. PR also didn't
talk very much. Except for one period of tense negotiation, I never got
more than short, one-line answers from him, which usually told me
nothing. Mostly, his messages were just his orders CC'ed to his allies.

The war between SA and GA wasn't going well for SA, and for some reason
the entire world except me and EU (he was falling) wanted to attack SA.
Something about nuclear stigma, an odd phenomenon. As I have always
said, I believe Arsenals are primarily defensive units, serving to
creating barriers around oneself. As an offensive weapon they are weak,
since they force you to hold to develop them, and can only be used to
restrict your battlefield or destroy your gains.

I tried to stay on RF's side, since I needed him as an ally. Otherwise
my north was vulnerable, and defending it was costly. Since I had little
choice I decided to trust him, but he decided to stab me. His stated
reason was he was worried I'd bomb WSI. For the record I would never
have done so (and never did), even when attacking RF, since WSI was one
of the few gains I could expect in such a case. I fended him off, and my
warnings to PR got more frequent. Then RF did something unexpected:
right after attacking me, he stabbed GA *and* PR. I think this brought a
*lot* of attention on him. He was basically taking on the whole world.

Well then of course the whole world had to fight RF. The infighting
which I believe Mike hoped for between GA/PR/US didn't happen when he
wanted it to. The only anomaly was with SA-GA relations. GA insisted
that SA move and leave his home centres unprotected to fight RF, and
that otherwise GA would not fight RF. This is something that bothered me
a lot; it was pointless manipulative blackmail. GA *had* to fight RF or
RF would solo. Why ask for SA to practically hand his centres to GA as
the price? Not subtle.

I tried to balance the fight against RF while keeping GA restrained. The
fight would benefit GA by opening vulnerabilities in me and PR and
letting him get involved in areas where he could easily change alliances
and grab centres, particularly in Asia. (PR ignored my concerns and open
the Asian gates to GA units.) I helped PR regain his home centres, so
that he could fight RF and face up to GA. I bombed CAM to prevent GA
units slipping into North America.

However, when GA bombed RUS, one of the gains I'd hoped to make, and
sealing off Europe in the process (now his for the taking), I decided to
act. SA had been replaced at this point, and I negotiated with Andrea to
nuke GA. It almost worked, but I guessed wrong. I had also feared GA was
also planning a pre-emptive nuclear strike on me, but I was wrong. I
lost my arsenal, a crippling blow, but managed to make it impossible for
GA to nuke me by destroying SAH and WAF. I also tried repeatedly to
convince PR to cut GA's bombing my arsenal, but as with RF before, Stan
had thrown in his lot with GA.

PR then stabbed me, saying he and GA planned to share a two-way draw.
The rest of the game found my desperately outnumbered forces fighting
off the two superpowers. At the time it was obvious to me GA would win.
I did my best, but once PR convoyed GA into NWT, and then even supported
GA into CCA right when he was being stabbed by GA (!), it was all over.
In fact, GA could have won, easily, one entire build phase earlier. It
looks like he was serious about the two-way. Yikes. Like I said, not the
kind of game I play. PR's last minute confused defense was pointless and
doomed. The time to stop GA would have been long before that. I think I
would have found the game even more pointless had it ended in a two-way
draw.

Overall, I never got too big in this game; I usually had to be reacting
to someone else's solo attempt or defending myself. Fought to the
finish, but with PR pushing GA to a solo, there was never a chance.

Thanks to Eric for GMing. Despite my comments about this particular
game, I think the variant is great!

-Samy

=======
UN comments on game:

These comments from the UN are (almost) limited to the tactical side
of the game. Discussing the tactical side of the game without
reference to the diplomatic considerations is highly misleading, but
what can I do! :-)

All comments have been written as the game is being played, not in retrospect.

Initial builds:

A GBR sends a signal to the US/GA that there are plans to invade one
or the other with a convoy soon. It would be an ambiguous threat if
not for the N WEU/sc which clearly targets GA.

3 N's: When SA has seemed too powerful a power in some games, I have been
tempted to add in the rule that max. 2 of any unit type can be built in
any season. On the other hand, by the time this game started, I had
decided that SA was probably not significantly more powerful than
other powers -- unless he can trust both US and GA that is!

The US 3 N build is unusual. An N in CCA is potentially a liability,
so the build suggests the US may try for a more aggressive expansion. 

The PR 3 N build suggests reasonable trust of RF. To allow this trust
to be somewhat possible, this game has pre-initial-build diplomacy,
and I see the choice of 3 N's as a consequence of that.

Africa's 2 F's is unconventional, perhaps signalling a willingness to
help others. On the other hand, it could lead to AF's on the front
line. On the other hand, not too many units on the front line need
support during the first year, so if GA anticipates a shifting front
line, this could be an advantageous build.

W01

GA's WAF-EAF makes a clever move. If the EU attacks, there is initial
defence of EGY possible, if not, SIO can be guaranteed a more
interesting SC than MAD/SAF. This suggests that GA is interested in
taking MAD/SAF more leisurly and enter into the Pacific theater
immediately.

EU makes clear the intention of attacking GA. However this means that
a choice between the SC in GRE needs to be weighed against launching a
more powerful attack with NAT c GBR-SAH, which gives no immediate SC.

RF does not attack the PR! The temptation to make an initial movement
attack against the PR is often too great to resist. On the basis of
previous games, PR is actually fairly resistant to a 2 SC loss if in a
defensive position, so an early RF attack needs to be quite definitive
or both powers suffer.

SEA-IND is a conservative move (compared to NIO) and sends
non-aggression signal to GA. Moderare PR growth is assured.

MAT bounce is inefficient, but harmless to both parties. With both N's
against MAT it is difficult to imagine a trusting relationship there.

Sp01

Elegant TUR for SCA swap. Works well with a clear EU attack on GA
position.

Bounce in EGY is fairly predictable and serves to allow a build in EGY
with an AF in WAF for future support.

GBR-GRE may well leave a unit stranded, but at least gives a
build which is needed against the RF assault. On the other hand, under
this circumstance, an initial AF GBR build would have served better.

US/SA run the risk of having double bounces (MAT and AMP) in
perpetuity....

SIO-QND/nc was my favorite move of the season. Limits GA expansion,
provides a bargaining chip, and since SA did not move into SAT, there
is no reason to hurry for SAF/MAD. If SA had moved BRA-SAT, then this
move would have perhaps seemed reckless. On the other hand, unless SA
could be sure that SUS-MAT would not be ordered, SAT was reasonably
safe.

Builds Sp01

Unclear what the AF ALA will be doing.

N RUS/wc is a nice build. Should bring BAL more into play than in the
last few games. Allows the possibility of a Fall convoy of A SCA to
the continent. Otherwise A SCA is just stuck in a holding pattern.

Obviously A YAK is a move threatening to PR, but then everyone is
threatened by the RF having three builds....

The PR built less for defence against RF and more for expansion. PR
will need to move to NIO with this configuration however which should
lead to conflict with GA. On the other hand, the GA is currently
concerned more with Australia and the Med. Either the GA commits to
pressing North, or a bounce in NIO is likely.

Moves Su 01

Moves W 02

SA bombing of SAF an error. SAT would have protected against a GA invasion.
Since GA declined to build an arsenal, it should be relatively easy to 
organize unified opposition to SA, in which case SA needs a defensive
position.

Retreat to BRA is a dig-in survival retreat. Unfortunately the coming season
is Spring, otherwise a retreat to ANT would have been interesting. A retreat
to MAD would have required at least two units dedicated to dislodging that
unit before the build season, and might thus have served as a defensive
retreat as well.

Builds Sp'02

Interesting that GA continues to waive the arsenal build. Suggests that allies
can continue to not fear him too much. R SUS guarantees the loss of WAF.
The US can just take out MAT as the first bombing operation.
Much will depend on whether or not SA trusts the US to not bomb BRA in the
Fall.

It the US does take out MAT, then it is imperative that someone control
both NAT and AMP by the end of Summer. This would allow Fall moves -CAR
and -EUS. Without both of these moves in the fall, R SUS can bomb itself
into perfect isolation. Of course if this is done, GA will have the perfect
excuse to build an arsenal as only a bomb can eliminate R SUS at that point.
In other words for Fall, expect control of both AMP and NAT by some 
anti-US alliance or expect GA to need to build an arsenal in the Fall.

The bank of northern RF is interesting. Clearly only useful in an alliance,
but then it can be devestating to the US, unless the US can manage a fall
bombing of some R territory.
This would only be possible if the US can keep GA out of MAT. In exchange for
not bombing WAF? Convincing SA to send N BRA-MAT with support from AF MIW?
(which would surely result in the loss of ARG).

Summer movement 2102

NPA taken instead of AMP. This makes for a strong invasion by Russian units,
but must assume that R SUS will not seriously harm RF. (Otherwise, ASP-AMP
would have been the necessary move.) Since RF has no army to convoy to the 
US, the attack will be limitted to West Coast SCs.

EN HUD is an interesting wildcard. It forces a Fall move of WUS-CCA. Since 
UF WUS could not be supported against NPA-WUS anyway, this is a relatively 
small cost. Since this is predictable, RF might offer to the EU that his unit
go to GRE with support, although there seems little strategic reason for
RF to keep the EU alive, it would allow a reduction of 1SC from the US
whereas the US would otherwise be able to keep GRE (assuming the RF is
ordering NAT-EUS in the hope that the US is not ordering R SUS b EUS).

The PN retreat is a real setback. A disband might serve as well if PR is
worried about an RF border incursion.

Fall movement 2102:

======
Summer 2103:

This was an interesting season.

GA anticipates SAT-SIO by eliminating SIO. This will greatly affect the
future ability to deploy units however. Presumably, SAT-MAD will be necessary
howevermuch GA might rather advance that N to a front. 
Otherwise, MAD may remain unclaimed for a full year.

Similarly, if GN PER moves toward the US, then SA will be able to rebuild
which is clearly not in GA's best interest.

The US played well for the support into BAL with an obvious RN retreat to 
WEU. Now GA can either use SAH to support retaking WEU or to bomb EUS.
Everything will hinge on the PN NIO (which failed -CHS!).
Anticipate an unsupported convoy EGY-SEU.

RF and PR will be locked into a musical chairs battle for the next year or
so. This is a common result with RF invades PR. The invasion looks simple,
but if PR has AFs in INO/TAI/JAP (as it often does), the invasion often
bogs down into something far messier than anticipated.

Winter 04

GA made a tactical error with WEU. Moving TUR-MIE allows WEU to hold 
through the next build season. Since MEX/WUS cannot be taken with just
the two GN's, this will severely limit GA's growth. Should still be
able to build an F in the Spring to take Europe over the next few seasons.

If the US moves WUS-AMP in Spring, this could allow a build, which could allow
the US to expand into South American territory, which will be less than
perfectly defended.

JAP will become a pivotal space. US should offer to PR that F ALA be
convoyed there in the Spring to support the retaking of PR's homeland.
With 3 AFs working there, PR can count on recapturing the SCs. With a US
AF in JAP, the US can be confident that GA will not be able to use a PR AF
there to bomb the remaining US home SCs in Summer and Fall 2104. Which
would ensure victory to GA and/or PR. 

Meanwhile, the stalemate in coastal Asia continues...
If RF seeks KOR-KAM, RF gets no build and PR gets a build. So the better
bet is for RF to give up on an expensive conquest of KAM this round. 
Unfortunately for RF, if GA/PR co-ordinate all their units, SEA cannot be
defended. Since RF won't be able to build in the Spring anyway (and PR
won't be able to build if RF doesn't take KAM) that doesn't matter much,
so PR and RF need to focus on positional play.

Sp04

With an AF in JAP, the US must take NPA in Summer 04
or risk losing both remaining home SCs to GA/PR bombing.

Su04

US did well to move to COL for a guaranteed BRA. However, by failing to take
NPA, the US will lose both remaining home SCs to PR (obviously not an
anticipated stab).

GA has captured AMP and will rely on PN WUS S AMP - MEX. This should
pretty much finish off the US except for a difficult clean-up operation 
in Europe and the rogue unit in BRA (unless the US disbands that unit, which
would probably be a mistake. BRA could eventually capture the forgotten MAD
which remains neutral to this point!

For F04, the US should probably retake WUS giving up MEX to GA. Moving ALA-WCA
could destroy the PN in WUS although a retreat might manage the same more 
expensively.

EAR-SCA  and QUE S SPN - WEU/sc guarantees no disbands. This way the US remains
strong in Europe even though expansion to SEU is unsupportable in the near 
future. GA's upcoming build presents some interesting possibilities.
Each unit type has certain advantages at this point.

GA is nearing a good position to stab PR. Possibly by Sp 2105. A F04 build
in SEA will help PR tremendously on that front as well as against RF.

Su05

RF's move to TAI was ill-conisdered. Always tempting to move into an SC
when available, but a guaranteed dislodge and possible disband in the Fall
speaks for moving to CHI-ASP, from there the navy can feast on SCs, possibly
contolling 2 SCs (analogous to the US Navy in S. America), before another
unit comes down to interfere.

GA is clearly patient. No stab of PR and a very gradual improvement of position
against RF/US. Slow victory must seem certain.

Fa05

RF should be eliminated by Sp06.
GA can solo with WSI, WUS, MEX, and all of S. America. (Don't forget that MAD
remains an available SC).
Unless PR is certain that GA does not want a solo, 2106 is the obvious time
to control NIO as insurance against EAF bombing SEA and virtually guaranteeing
a solo victory.

The US cannot survive against a polar convoy so his only strategic hope
is to convice PR to unite against GA by convincing him that GA will otherwise
solo. As in regular diplomacy, a three-way endgame should in principle
be fairly stable because two players should always gang-up against the leader
(it seldom operates in such a pure game-theoretic way in practice).
However, since GA is a nuclear power, a stable 3-way endgame is not very likely.

If PR were to suddenly turn against GA and capture NIO, GA would be in a fairly
precarious defensive position since PR could support himself into SPA.

The counter ploy by GA should be to convince PR that he can bomb NIO for their
mutual protection while moving NIO-CHS (ostensibly toward WUS). Once NIO
is eliminated, GA can suffer a loss of SPA and still have a reasonable hope
of an eventual victory.

Spring 2106

GA's march toward a solo is looking more complete. PR surprisingly vacates
Yakutskaya to let GA take the SC even though it is unnecessary and gains little
advantage for an anti-US campaign.

At this point only an alliance between PR/US would be able to stop GA since
SEA can be removed by nuke at any point.

MAD remains a neutral SC. The US may ultimately retreat there.

Winter 2107

Interesting battle between PR and GA despite the continued co-ordination in 
N. America. There was a call for a draw which was rejected, although the plan
was to put out the call again once two player remained. However, 
note that with 30 remaining centers (and 16 to win), the only way for a
draw at this point is if 1) another SC is destroyed or 2) RF keeps
SWE and agrees to a draw or 3) the US survives the next season and agrees
to a draw or 4) GA and PR each end up with exactly 15
centers at the end of this turn (and both agree to draw rather than
continue to fight). None of these scenarios is all that likely!

Spring 2107:

Victory for GA. PRs move to MON was quite odd. It pretty much guaranteed that
GA would win no matter what other moves were made.


=====
Eric Pederson
epederso@darkwing.uoregon.edu (no "n" in "epederso")
Personal home page:
	http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~epederso/