Math 243: Introduction to Methods of Probability and Statistics
- Time and Place:
12:00 MWF, 110 Fenton Hall
- CRN: 13733
- Textbook:
The Basic Practice of Statistics
by David S. Moore, 2nd edition,
published by W.H. Freeman and Company, 2000
- Reference: Against All Odds: Inside Statistics .
Video Series, Knight Library
- Final Exam:
10:15 - 12:15, Tuesday, December 5, 110 Fenton
- Course Instructor: Qi-Man Shao
- Office: 215M Deady Hall
- Office Hours: 11:00 - 11:50 MWF
- Office Phone: 346-4701
- Email: shao@math.uoregon.edu
- Web URL: http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~qmshao
DISCUSSION SECTIONS
1. 15:00-15:50 (CRN 13734) Monday, 303 Deady;
2. 16:00- 16:50 (CRN 13735) Monday, 306 Deady;
3. 8:00-8:50 (CRN 13736) Tuesday, 242 Gilbert;
4. 9:00-9:50 (CRN 13741) Tuesday, 303 Deady
- Discussion instructor: Aaron Tresham
- Office: 4 Deady
- Office hours: 10:00 - 12:00 Tuesday, Thursday
- Office phone: 346-0985
- email: tresham@noether.uoregon.edu
The emphasis of the course is on statistical reasoning: interpretation
of and critical thinking about statistical information. The main
concepts will be illustrated by a variety of interesting and important
real world examples. These will include issues under current discussion
in society that have a statistical component, in particular clinical
trials, political polling, and various studies in the social sciences.
Grading Policy
Your course grade is a weighted average of the following
performance scores: homework (10%), quizzes (15%),
exam 1 (20%), exam 2 (25%) and final exam (30%).
Exams
There will be two midterms during the term.
They are scheduled for
Friday, October 27, and for Friday, November 17
. The final is scheduled for
10:15 - 12:15 on Tuesday, December 5.
All the exams will be in 110 Fenton. For each exam,
you may bring one "formula sheet," i.e., one 8.5 by 11
sheet of paper with whatever formulas and notes you would find useful.
Quizzes
There will be six or seven quizzes in
discussion section. There will be no make-up quizzes.
Your lowest quiz grade will be dropped.
Homework
Homework is due DAILY at the lectures. No homework will be accepted
late. You may drop FOUR homeworks. If a situation develops in which you
need more than four homeworks dropped, such as a prolonged illness, you
should notify me as soon as possible verbally and in writing. You may
turn in homework early, of course, if you know in advance that you
will have to miss class.
Please do homework on 8.5 by 11 paper, folded once the long way. Put
your name (last name first, please) on the front.
Please pick up your homework in the paper return box outside Room 110 Fenton.
Attendance:
Attendance is mandatory.
You are responsible for all the announcements, changes,
course information, and topics that I cover in class.
If you cannot make my office hours, please feel free to stop by my
office anytime.
Calculators
At the minimum, you should have a calculator capable of handling
two-variable statistics. The TI-82 will draw histograms and regression
lines for you and will be more than sufficient. The TI-83 is
like having a small computer program at your desk and will perform all
the statistical tests that we will learn in this course. It is your
responsibility to learn how to use any calculator you choose for this course.
Calculators are allowed on all quizzes and exams.
Texas Instruments' manuals on the Web:
TI-82 ,
TI-83 .
Videos
There's an excellent set of videos, Against All Odds,
available at Media Services in the Library. The 26 half-hour programs of
this public television series present some fascinating real-world
applications of statistics while at the same time focusing on the
essential features of statistics.
Suggested videos are indicated with the assignments.
They have to be watched at the Media center, and you will need an ID
to check them out. The Media center is open 8:00 a.m. - 10:00 p.m.
Mondays through Thursdays, and 8:00 a.m. - 5:00 p.m. on Fridays.
Tips: There's only one copy of each video, but groups of students can
watch a video at once. Two students can watch a single monitor.
Between 3 and 8 can watch in a small room. Larger rooms are available for
larger groups, but arrangements must be made in advance and would
probably need my intervention. As noted below, there are
two videos on each cassette. If you want to view the second
video, Fast Forward for 45-50 seconds before pressing Play.
Be considerate of the next viewers: Rewind the cassette.
When you check out the video, if you sign a waiver other
students can join you.
1-2 What is statistics?/Picturing distribution
3-4 Describing distributions/Normal distributions
5-6 Normal calculations/Time series
7-8 Models for growth/Describing relationships
9-10 Correlation/Multidimensional data analysis
11-12 Question of causation/Experimental design
13-14 Blocking and sampling/Samples and surveys
15-16 What is probability?/Random variables
17-18 Binomial distributions/Sample means
19-20 Confidence intervals/Significance tests
21-22 Inference for one mean/Comparing two means
23-24 Inference for proportions/Inference for two proportions
25-26 Inference for relationships/Case study
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