|
Overpopulation Overreaction
BY JEROME COLE
It is a widely held belief that there are too many people in the
world. It's impossible to watch television, listen to the radio, or read
newspapers for long without seeing numerous references to overpopulation,
often accompanied by calls for drastic measures in population
reduction. In reality, overpopulation is a nonexistent problem.
The term "over" implies some sort of objective standard. In order for
overpopulation to be a real problem there must be undesirable conditions
caused by a certain number of people. If we can't find any such problems
then we can reasonably conclude that overpopulation is not a
problem. Problems typically attributed to overpopulation include
increasing poverty, famines, disease, and environmental destruction.
All of the problems cited are clearly becoming less acute over time. The
evidence in each one of these areas fails to support the argument that the
planet is overpopulated. Food is abundant, life expectancy is at an
all-time high, and economic prosperity is more widespread than ever
before.
For example, in the past 100 years there has been not been a single
instance famine that has not been caused by civil war, irrational economic
policies, or the deliberate actions of government. Since 1948, according
to the UN Food and Agriculture Organization and the U.S. Department of
Agriculture, "annual world food production has outpaced the increase in
population. Today, per capita production and per-acre yields are at
all-time highs. Prices of agricultural products have been falling for over
100 years. The average inflation-adjusted price of those products, indexed
to wages, fell by more than 74 percent between 1950 and 1990."
Humans are living longer than ever. The increase in life expectancy at
birth has been dramatic. "Between 1950-55 and 1980-85, the average
increase worldwide was 13 years, up 29 percent. In the industrialized
world, life expectancy went from 65 years to 73 years." But the biggest
gains occurred in the third world, where the life expectancy "went from 41
to over 56-a 38 percent increase." The improvements were particularly
notable in East Asia, where life spans increased by more than 25 years
during this time.
There is a strong correspondence between affluence and longevity. The
lengthening life expectancy throughout the world is a strong indication
that population growth cannot be increasing poverty. The Cato Institute's
Sheldon Richman points out that "The West grew rich precisely when its
population was increasing at an unprecedented rate. Between 1776 and 1975,
while the world's population increased six-fold, real gross world product
rose about 80-fold." Increased population and increased prosperity are not
mutually exclusive. It isn't a coincidence that with a few exceptions,
the most densely populated areas of the world also happen to be the
richest. An increase in population equals an increase in producers and
creators. In other words, increased populations allow for a more highly
developed division of labor, which in turn increases productivity and
technological progress.
The fact that the world's population is at an all-time high isn't
something that we should regret; it's something that we should
celebrate. The dramatic increase in human population over the past
century is a result of our mounting victories in our war on death and
poverty.
Unfortunately, many people don't feel that way. When the planet's
population hit 6 billion people this year, there were renewed calls for
increased population control measures from government. The proposals run
the gamut from offering free contraception to implementing a worldwide
one-family/ one-child policy similar to China's. One would think that we
would have learned our lesson following the atrocities committed in China,
India, Bangladesh and other countries in the name of population
control. The flaw of all population control measures is that they treat
humans as burdens. A much better way to alleviate the problems of poverty
and disease falsely associated with population growth is to treat humans
as the valuable resources that they are.
In other words, let them be free.
|