Class Times, Days, and Place: 12:00-12:50 MWF, 105Fenton
Instructor: Hao Wang
Text Book: Introduction to Probability and
Statistics
(12th Edition) by W. Mendenhall et al.
Office: 11A Deady Hall
Office Hours: W:12:50-1:30pm and F:12:50-1:30pm
(Otherwise,
you need to make an appointment with me by e-mail.)
Email: haowang@uoregon.edu
Web URL:
http://darkwing.uoregon.edu/~haowang/teaching/425_WIN2006/425.html
Grading Policy
Your course grade is the sum of following performance scores: The homeworks will count as 15% of the course grade; The in-class quizzes will also count as 15%; The midterm will count as 20% and the final exam will count as 50%.
Quizzes: During the term, there are several in-class quizzes. The day of a quiz is not completely fixed. The duration of a quiz ranges from 20 to 50 minutes. Quiz scores will be averaged and contributed to the course grade. There is no make-up quiz.
Homework: Homework questions and due date are posted in the following Tentative Syllabus of this web page which will be updated very often. Homework is due weekly before 3:00pm of each Friday or the date specified in the Tentative Syllabus. It is your responsibility to check the updated Tentative Syllabus each Thursday afternoon or the date before the specified due date in the Tentative Syllabus. Late handing in homework will not be accepted. One lowest homework score will be dropped and the remaining homework scores will be averaged and contributed to the course grade. You can discuss with other students while working on your homework problems, but copying other students' answers is not allowed, otherwise a penalty of score deduction may be given. Your solution to each homework problem should be legible and should describe your ideas clearly. No details will have no scores. Please use 8.5" by 11" sheets to do your homework and don't forget to write down your first name, middle name and last name (In order to protect your rights to confidentiality of your papers, don't write down your ID number on homework paper.) on each page. Your homework will be returned in the return boxes by your grader. Please find your return box and pick up your homeworks promptly. Poor attendance may alter this policy; see "Attendance" below.
Exam: There are a midterm and a final exam. For each exam (including quizzes), you can bring a 8.5" by 11" sheet with formulae or useful notes for you. Your solution to each exam problem should be legible and you should describe your ideas clearly. No details will have no scores. The times of the midterm and final exams are specified and can't be changed. There is no make-up exams.
Attendance: Attendance is mandatory. You are
responsible
for all the announcements, changes, course information, and topics that
I cover in class. If you miss a substantial number of lectures
without
discussing the matter with me and without a valid excuse, a penalty
of score deduction of
homeworks
and quizzes may be given according to number of lectures missed.
Tentative Syllabus
(Updated on Jan. 23, 2006)
| Week |
Topics covered or remarks |
Sections Covered | Homework Question Numbers (HQN) and the due date (Note: HQN may be updateded ) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 1/9-1/13 |
pre-req-exam on (1/9),
data analysis, population, sample, relative frequency histogram, sample mean, sample variance, data range, Tchebysheff's theorem |
1.1; 1.5,2.1; 2.2; 2.3; 2.4, | First week has no homework | |
| Week 2 1/16-1/20 |
Events, sample space,
simple event,
calculating event probabilities,
and counting rules, mn rule, permutation counting rule;
combination counting rule, application examples No Class on Martin Luther King Jr. holiday (1/16) |
4.1; 4.2; 4.3, 4.4 |
Homework #(1) 1.19(a,b,c,d); 2.10; 2.16; 2.22; 2.31.
due on 1/20/06 |
|
| Week 3 1/23-1/27 |
Event relations, complement, conditional probability, independence, multiplicative rule, total probability formula Bayes' rule |
4.5, 4.6, 4.7 |
Homework #(2) 4.1; 4.2; 4.5; 4.7; 4.26; 4.27; 4.31; 4.34; 4.35; 4.36; due on 1/27/06 | |
| Week 4 1/30-2/3 |
Bayes' rule and application
examples, conditional prob. formulae and
application examples, quiz
#1 on Jan 30 |
4.7 |
Homework #(3) 4.42; 4.43; 4.54; 4.55; 4.58; 4.60; 4.63; 4.109; 4.113 due on 2/3/06 | |
| Week 5 2/6-2/10 |
Discrete random variable
and their probability distribution, Binomial distribution, application
examples of Binomial distribution, quiz
# 2 on Feb 8 |
4.8, 5.1, 5.2 |
Homework #(4) 4.62; 4.65; 4.66; 4.69; 4.70; 4.72; 4.73 4.74; due on 2/10/06 |
|
| Week 6 2/13-2/17 |
Continuous random variables, Normal distribution, Find event probabilities of standard normal distribution by using table, Midterm Review |
6.1; 6.2; 6.3 | Homework #(5) 4.77; 4.78; 4.83; 4.86; 4.87; 4.89; 4.90; 4.119; 4.138(a)(b); due on 2/17/06 | |
| Week 7 2/20-2/24 |
Midterm Exam on Monday (2/20/2006, Cover until
section 5.2, inclusive) Find event probabilities of general normal distribution by using table, Normal approximation to binomial distribution |
6.3 |
Homework #(6)4.108; 5.8; 5.11; 5.23; 5.24; 5.26;
5.27; due on 2/24/06 |
|
| Week 8 2/27-3/3 |
Normal approximation to
binomial distribution and applications,Sample distribution,central
limit theorem, sample distribution of the sample mean |
6.4,7.3, 7.4, 7.5 |
Homework #(7)6.4; 6.7; 6.8; 6.10; 6.12; 6.13; 6.14; 6.15; 6.18 due on 3/3/06 | |
| Week 9 3/6-3/10 |
central limit theorem, sample distribution of the sample
mean, and
applications, Quiz # 3 on March 6th |
7.5 |
Homework #(8) 6.19; 6.22; 6.23; 6.31; 6.49; 6.50; 6.51; 6.60; 6.69 due on 3/10/06 | |
| Week 10 3/13-3/17 |
Sampling distribution
of sample proportion, review Office hour: 12:00pm -2:00pm, March 17th (No Class on March 17th) |
7.6 |
Homework #(9) 6.76; 6.77; 7.20; 7.24; 7.28; 7.29; 7.30;7.31; 7.32 due on 3/17/06 | |
Office Hours after March 17th:
10:00am-12:00pm, March 23rd, 2006
|
||||
| Lecture Notes Solutions |