Saving Darwin's Oryx

Table of Contents

Introduction
Life Table
Your Task
Six Conservation Otions
Leslie Matrix

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Introduction

You have been named to head the international recovery team to save Darwinís Oryx. The population has been undergoing a steady decline (Lambda = 0.90 approximately). Data has been gathered to produce the following life table (Table 1):

Table 1. Current life table of Darwinís oryx.

Darwinís Oryx Life Table

Fecundity

Survival

Age

m

p

1

0.0

0.30

2

0.0

0.70

3

0.0

0.87

4

0.0

0.87

5

2.0

0.87

6

0.0

0.87

7

2.0

0.60

8

0.0

0.60

9

0.0

0.60

10

0.0

0.00

 

The recovery team has developed a number of options for increasing the growth rate of Darwinís Oryx. The six options each affect a different part of the Darwinís Oryx life table. The options are described below and costs are detailed in the tables below. Table 2 shows the current Leslie matrix for Darwinís Oryx with the parameters circled that can be changed.

Your Task

Your job is to select the combination of options that will increase the population growth rate to a safe level (Lambda = 1.05) at the lowest cost possible.

You are to do this in three steps:

1. Review the six alternatives. Hypothesize what the relative affect will be of each option on the population growth rate.

2. Using Demography, test the various options and compare the actual results to your hypotheses from step 1.

3. Using Demography, and keeping track of costs, find the combination of options that will produce the acceptable growth rate at the lowest possible cost.

You are to write this assignment up noting your progress along the way. This is not meant to be a final report, but rather a lab book where you keep your notes as you proceed.

Six Conservation Options

1. Extending the length of sexual maturity. (m9 = 0 changes to m9 = 1.5)

2. Decreasing the age of sexual maturity. (m3 = 0 changes to either m3 = 0.5, 1.0, or 1.5)

3. Increasing the frequency of reproduction. (m6 = 0 changes to m6 = 1.0, 1.5, or 2.0)

4. Increasing the survival of juveniles. (p1 = 0.30 changes to p1 = 0.35 or 0.40)

5. Increasing the survival of adults. (p3-p6 = 0.87 changes to p3-p6 = 0.90 or 0.93 )

6. Increasing the survival of the oldest adults. (p9 = 0.6 changes to p9 = 0.99)

What is the action? Under ideal conditions, survival of elderly adults can be significantly increased.

What is the biology involved? Elderly adults usually die of disease or starvation during the winter months. Protecting the elderly from severe conditions can significantly increase their survival.

How is it accomplished? The proposal is to capture all adults age 9 or over and move them into captivity at zoological parks where they can have food, vitamins, medicines, and where they can be cared for by staff veterinarians.

What are the costs? Costs per animal are large but due to the small number of animals in this age class, overall costs are moderate.

 
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Darwinís Oryx Fact Sheet. Options to Improve Population Growth Rate.

All cost in millions of US dollars.

Elderly Fecundity m9

Base Value

Option 1

Possible Values

0.0

1.5

Additional Costs

$0.0

$0.1

Juvenile Fecundity m3

Base Value

Option 1

Option 2

Option 3

Possible Values

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Additional Costs

$0.0

$3.0

$7.0

$11.0

Adult Fecundity m6

Base Value

Option 1

Option 2

Option 3

Possible Values

0.0

1.0

1.5

2.0

Additional Costs

$0.0

$5.0

$8.0

$12.0

Juvenile Survival p1

Base Value

Option 1

Option 2

Possible Values

0.30

0.35

0.40

Additional Costs

$0.0

$0.2

$0.5

Adult Survival p3-p6

Base Value

Option 1

Option 2

Possible Values

0.87

0.90

0.93

Additional Costs

$0.0

$2.0

$5.0

Elderly Survival p9

Base Value

Option 1

Possible Values

0.60

0.99

Additional Costs

$0.0

$3.0

 

Leslie Matrix for Darwin's Oryx

Current values are shown. Highlighted cells can be changed by various policies.

0

0

0

0

2.0

0

2.0

0

0

0

0.3

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0.7

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0.87

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0.87

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0.87

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0.87

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0.6

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0.6

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0.6

0